Reference class forecasting

en

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Reference class forecasting

Quality:

Reference class forecasting - method of predicting the future. Article "Reference class forecasting" in English Wikipedia has 25.5 points for quality (as of July 1, 2025). The article contains 15 references and 6 sections.

In this language version of Wikipedia the article has the best quality. Also, this article is the most popular in that language version.

In June 2025 the article "Reference class forecasting" was edited by 1 authors in English Wikipedia and written by 1 authors in all languages.

Since the creation of article "Reference class forecasting", its content was written by 50 registered users of English Wikipedia and edited by 62 registered Wikipedia users in all languages.

The article is cited 79 times in English Wikipedia and cited 96 times in all languages.

The highest Authors Interest rank from 2001:

  • Local (English): #53164 in January 2008
  • Global: #149167 in January 2008

The highest popularity rank from 2008:

  • Local (English): #184158 in February 2016
  • Global: #318772 in February 2016

There are 4 language versions for this article in the WikiRank database (of the considered 55 Wikipedia language editions).

The quality and popularity assessment was based on Wikipédia dumps from July 1, 2025 (including revision history and pageviews for previous years).

The table below shows the language versions of the article with the highest quality.

Languages with the highest quality

#LanguageQuality gradeQuality score
1English (en)
Reference class forecasting
25.5022
2Spanish (es)
Pronóstico por clase de referencia
16.2978
3Arabic (ar)
توقع بمرجع الفئة المعنية
14.7832
4Japanese (ja)
参照クラス予測
14.3618
More...

The following table shows the most popular language versions of the article.

Most popular in all the time

The most popular language versions of the article "Reference class forecasting" in all the time
#LanguagePopularity awardRelative popularity
1English (en)
Reference class forecasting
328 195
2Spanish (es)
Pronóstico por clase de referencia
6 992
3Arabic (ar)
توقع بمرجع الفئة المعنية
1 531
4Japanese (ja)
参照クラス予測
106
More...

The following table shows the language versions of the article with the highest popularity in the last month.

Most popular in June 2025

The most popular language versions of the article "Reference class forecasting" in June 2025
#LanguagePopularity awardRelative popularity
1English (en)
Reference class forecasting
1 645
2Japanese (ja)
参照クラス予測
31
3Spanish (es)
Pronóstico por clase de referencia
10
4Arabic (ar)
توقع بمرجع الفئة المعنية
8
More...

The following table shows the language versions of the article with the highest Authors’ Interest.

The highest AI

Language versions of the article "Reference class forecasting" with the highest Authors Interest (number of authors). Only registered Wikipedia users were taken into account.
#LanguageAI awardRelative AI
1English (en)
Reference class forecasting
50
2Spanish (es)
Pronóstico por clase de referencia
6
3Arabic (ar)
توقع بمرجع الفئة المعنية
4
4Japanese (ja)
参照クラス予測
2
More...

The following table shows the language versions of the article with the highest Authors’ Interest in the last month.

The highest AI in June 2025

Language versions of the article "Reference class forecasting" with the highest AI in June 2025
#LanguageAI awardRelative AI
1English (en)
Reference class forecasting
1
2Arabic (ar)
توقع بمرجع الفئة المعنية
0
3Spanish (es)
Pronóstico por clase de referencia
0
4Japanese (ja)
参照クラス予測
0
More...

The following table shows the language versions of the article with the highest number of citations.

The highest CI

Language versions of the article "Reference class forecasting" with the highest Citation Index (CI)
#LanguageCI awardRelative CI
1English (en)
Reference class forecasting
79
2Arabic (ar)
توقع بمرجع الفئة المعنية
7
3Spanish (es)
Pronóstico por clase de referencia
7
4Japanese (ja)
参照クラス予測
3
More...

Scores

Estimated value for Wikipedia:
English:
Global:
Popularity in June 2025:
English:
Global:
Popularity in all years:
English:
Global:
Authors in June 2025:
English:
Global:
Registered authors in all years:
English:
Global:
Citations:
English:
Global:

Quality measures

Interwikis

#LanguageValue
arArabic
توقع بمرجع الفئة المعنية
enEnglish
Reference class forecasting
esSpanish
Pronóstico por clase de referencia
jaJapanese
参照クラス予測

Popularity rank trends

Best Rank English:
#184158
02.2016
Global:
#318772
02.2016

AI rank trends

Best Rank English:
#53164
01.2008
Global:
#149167
01.2008

Languages comparison

Important global interconnections (July 2024 – June 2025)

Wikipedia readers most often find their way to information on Reference class forecasting from Wikipedia articles about Parkinsons law, Hofstadters law, Planning fallacy, Cognitive bias and Megaproject. Whereas reading the article about Reference class forecasting people most often go to Wikipedia articles on Reference class problem, Daniel Kahneman, Base rate fallacy, Hofstadters law and Amos Tversky.

Cumulative results of quality and popularity of the Wikipedia article

List of Wikipedia articles in different languages (starting with the most popular):

News from 12 August 2025

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In English Wikipedia the most popular articles on that day were: Weapons (2025 film), Danielle Spencer (American actress), Cristiano Ronaldo, Deaths in 2025, Taylor Swift, Wednesday (TV series), Superman (2025 film), Georgina Rodríguez, Coolie (2025 film), The Fantastic Four: First Steps.

About WikiRank

The WikiRank project is intended for automatic relative evaluation of the articles in the various language versions of Wikipedia. At the moment the service allows to compare over 44 million Wikipedia articles in 55 languages. Quality scores of articles are based on Wikipedia dumps from July, 2025. When calculating current popularity and AI of articles data from June 2025 was taken into account. For historical values of popularity and AI WikiRank used data from 2001 to 2025... More information